finance-metrics-quickref
npx skills add https://github.com/deanpeters/product-manager-skills --skill finance-metrics-quickref
Agent 安装分布
Skill 文档
Purpose
Quick reference for any SaaS finance metric without deep teaching. Use this when you need a fast formula lookup, benchmark check, or decision framework reminder. For detailed explanations, calculations, and examples, see the related deep-dive skills.
This is not a teaching toolâit’s a cheat sheet optimized for speed. Scan, find, apply.
Key Concepts
Metric Categories
Metrics are organized into four families:
- Revenue & Growth â Top-line money (revenue, ARPU, ARPA, MRR/ARR, churn, NRR, expansion)
- Unit Economics â Customer-level profitability (CAC, LTV, payback, margins)
- Capital Efficiency â Cash management (burn rate, runway, OpEx, net income)
- Efficiency Ratios â Growth vs. profitability balance (Rule of 40, magic number)
When to Use This Skill
Use this when:
- You need a quick formula or benchmark
- You’re preparing for a board meeting or investor call
- You’re evaluating a decision and need to check which metrics matter
- You want to identify red flags quickly
Don’t use this when:
- You need detailed calculation guidance (use
saas-revenue-growth-metricsorsaas-economics-efficiency-metrics) - You’re learning these metrics for the first time (start with deep-dive skills)
- You need examples and common pitfalls (covered in related skills)
Application
All Metrics Reference Table
| Metric | Formula | What It Measures | Good Benchmark | Red Flag |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | Total sales before expenses | Top-line money earned | Growth rate >20% YoY (varies by stage) | Revenue growing slower than costs |
| ARPU | Total Revenue / Total Users | Revenue per individual user | Varies by model; track trend | ARPU declining cohort-over-cohort |
| ARPA | MRR / Active Accounts | Revenue per customer account | SMB: $100-$1K; Mid: $1K-$10K; Ent: $10K+ | High ARPA + low ARPU (undermonetized seats) |
| ACV | Annual Recurring Revenue per Contract | Annualized contract value | SMB: $5K-$25K; Mid: $25K-$100K; Ent: $100K+ | ACV declining (moving downmarket unintentionally) |
| MRR/ARR | MRR Ã 12 = ARR | Predictable recurring revenue | Growth + quality matter; track components | New MRR declining while churn stable/growing |
| Churn Rate | Customers Lost / Starting Customers | % of customers who cancel | Monthly <2% great, <5% ok; Annual <10% great | Churn increasing cohort-over-cohort |
| NRR | (Start ARR + Expansion – Churn – Contraction) / Start ARR Ã 100 | Revenue retention + expansion | >120% excellent; 100-120% good; 90-100% ok | NRR <100% (base is contracting) |
| Expansion Revenue | Upsells + Cross-sells + Usage Growth | Additional revenue from existing customers | 20-30% of total revenue | Expansion <10% of MRR |
| Quick Ratio | (New MRR + Expansion MRR) / (Churned MRR + Contraction) | Revenue gains vs. losses | >4 excellent; 2-4 healthy; <2 leaky bucket | Quick Ratio <2 (leaky bucket) |
| Gross Margin | (Revenue – COGS) / Revenue à 100 | % of revenue after direct costs | SaaS: 70-85% good; <60% concerning | Gross margin <60% or declining |
| CAC | Total S&M Spend / New Customers | Cost to acquire one customer | Varies: Ent $10K+ ok; SMB <$500 | CAC increasing while LTV flat |
| LTV | ARPU Ã Gross Margin % / Churn Rate | Total revenue from one customer | Must be 3x+ CAC; varies by segment | LTV declining cohort-over-cohort |
| LTV:CAC | LTV / CAC | Unit economics efficiency | 3:1 healthy; <1:1 unsustainable; >5:1 underinvesting | LTV:CAC <1.5:1 |
| Payback Period | CAC / (Monthly ARPU Ã Gross Margin %) | Months to recover CAC | <12 months great; 12-18 ok; >24 concerning | Payback >24 months (cash trap) |
| Contribution Margin | (Revenue – All Variable Costs) / Revenue à 100 | True contribution after variable costs | 60-80% good for SaaS; <40% concerning | Contribution margin <40% |
| Burn Rate | Monthly Cash Spent – Revenue | Cash consumed per month | Net burn <$200K manageable early; <$500K growth | Net burn accelerating |
| Runway | Cash Balance / Monthly Net Burn | Months until money runs out | 12+ months good; 6-12 ok; <6 crisis | Runway <6 months |
| OpEx | S&M + R&D + G&A | Costs to run the business | Should grow slower than revenue | OpEx growing faster than revenue |
| Net Income | Revenue – All Expenses | Actual profit/loss | Early negative ok; mature 10-20%+ margin | Losses accelerating without growth |
| Rule of 40 | Revenue Growth % + Profit Margin % | Balance of growth vs. efficiency | >40 healthy; 25-40 ok; <25 concerning | Rule of 40 <25 |
| Magic Number | (Q Revenue – Prev Q Revenue) Ã 4 / Prev Q S&M | S&M efficiency | >0.75 efficient; 0.5-0.75 ok; <0.5 fix GTM | Magic Number <0.5 |
| Operating Leverage | Revenue Growth vs. OpEx Growth | Scaling efficiency | Revenue growth > OpEx growth | OpEx growing faster than revenue |
| Gross vs. Net Revenue | Net = Gross – Discounts – Refunds – Credits | What you actually keep | Refunds <10%; discounts <20% | Refunds >10% (product problem) |
| Revenue Concentration | Top N Customers / Total Revenue | Dependency on largest customers | Top customer <10%; Top 10 <40% | Top customer >25% (existential risk) |
| Revenue Mix | Product/Segment Revenue / Total Revenue | Portfolio composition | No single product >60% ideal | Single product >80% (no diversification) |
| Cohort Analysis | Group customers by join date; track behavior | Whether business improving or degrading | Recent cohorts same/better than old | Newer cohorts perform worse |
| CAC Payback by Channel | CAC / Monthly Contribution (by channel) | Payback by acquisition channel | Compare across channels | One channel far worse than others |
| Gross Margin Payback | CAC / (Monthly ARPU Ã Gross Margin %) | Payback using actual profit | Typically 1.5-2x simple payback | Payback using margin >36 months |
| Unit Economics | Revenue per unit – Cost per unit | Profitability of each “unit” | Positive contribution required | Negative contribution margin |
| Segment Payback | CAC / Monthly Contribution (by segment) | Payback by customer segment | Compare to allocate resources | One segment unprofitable |
| Incrementality | Revenue caused by action – Baseline | True impact of marketing/promo | Measure with holdout tests | Celebrating revenue that would’ve happened anyway |
| Working Capital | Cash timing between revenue and collection | Cash vs. revenue timing | Annual upfront > monthly billing | Long payment terms killing runway |
Quick Decision Frameworks
Use these frameworks to combine metrics for common PM decisions.
Framework 1: Should We Build This Feature?
Ask:
- Revenue impact? Direct (pricing, add-on) or indirect (retention, conversion)?
- Margin impact? What’s the COGS? Does it dilute margins?
- ROI? Revenue impact / Development cost
Build if:
- ROI >3x in year one (direct monetization), OR
- LTV impact >10x development cost (retention), OR
- Strategic value overrides short-term ROI
Don’t build if:
- Negative contribution margin even with optimistic adoption
- Payback period exceeds average customer lifetime
Metrics to check: Revenue, Gross Margin, LTV, Contribution Margin
Framework 2: Should We Scale This Acquisition Channel?
Ask:
- Unit economics? CAC, LTV, LTV:CAC ratio
- Cash efficiency? Payback period
- Customer quality? Cohort retention, NRR by channel
- Scalability? Magic Number, addressable volume
Scale if:
- LTV:CAC >3:1 AND
- Payback <18 months AND
- Customer quality meets/beats other channels AND
- Magic Number >0.75
Don’t scale if:
- LTV:CAC <1.5:1 AND
- No clear path to improvement
Metrics to check: CAC, LTV, LTV:CAC, Payback Period, NRR, Magic Number
Framework 3: Should We Change Pricing?
Ask:
- ARPU/ARPA impact? Will revenue per customer increase?
- Conversion impact? Help or hurt trial-to-paid conversion?
- Churn impact? Create churn risk or reduce it?
- NRR impact? Enable expansion or create contraction?
Implement if:
- Net revenue impact positive after churn risk
- Can test with segment before broad rollout
Don’t change if:
- High churn risk without offsetting expansion
- Can’t test hypothesis before committing
Metrics to check: ARPU, ARPA, Churn Rate, NRR, CAC Payback
Framework 4: Is the Business Healthy?
Check by stage:
Early Stage (Pre-$10M ARR):
- Growth Rate >50% YoY
- LTV:CAC >3:1
- Gross Margin >70%
- Runway >12 months
Growth Stage ($10M-$50M ARR):
- Growth Rate >40% YoY
- NRR >100%
- Rule of 40 >40
- Magic Number >0.75
Scale Stage ($50M+ ARR):
- Growth Rate >25% YoY
- NRR >110%
- Rule of 40 >40
- Profit Margin >10%
Metrics to check: Revenue Growth, NRR, LTV:CAC, Rule of 40, Magic Number, Gross Margin
Red Flags by Category
Revenue & Growth Red Flags
| Red Flag | What It Means | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Churn increasing cohort-over-cohort | Product-market fit degrading | Stop scaling acquisition; fix retention first |
| NRR <100% | Base is contracting | Fix expansion or reduce churn before scaling |
| Revenue churn > logo churn | Losing big customers | Investigate why high-value customers leave |
| Quick Ratio <2 | Leaky bucket (barely outpacing losses) | Fix retention before scaling acquisition |
| Expansion revenue <10% of MRR | No upsell/cross-sell engine | Build expansion paths |
| Revenue concentration >50% in top 10 customers | Existential dependency risk | Diversify customer base |
Unit Economics Red Flags
| Red Flag | What It Means | Action |
|---|---|---|
| LTV:CAC <1.5:1 | Buying revenue at a loss | Reduce CAC or increase LTV before scaling |
| Payback >24 months | Cash trap (long cash recovery) | Negotiate annual upfront or reduce CAC |
| Gross margin <60% | Low profitability per dollar | Increase prices or reduce COGS |
| CAC increasing while LTV flat | Unit economics degrading | Optimize conversion or reduce sales cycle |
| Contribution margin <40% | Unprofitable after variable costs | Cut variable costs or increase prices |
Capital Efficiency Red Flags
| Red Flag | What It Means | Action |
|---|---|---|
| Runway <6 months | Survival crisis | Raise capital immediately or cut burn |
| Net burn accelerating without revenue growth | Burning faster without results | Cut costs or increase revenue urgency |
| OpEx growing faster than revenue | Negative operating leverage | Freeze hiring; optimize spend |
| Rule of 40 <25 | Burning cash without growth | Improve growth or cut to profitability |
| Magic Number <0.5 | S&M engine broken | Fix GTM efficiency before scaling spend |
When to Use Which Metric
Prioritizing features:
- Revenue impact â Revenue, ARPU, Expansion Revenue
- Margin impact â Gross Margin, Contribution Margin
- ROI â LTV impact, Development cost
Evaluating channels:
- Acquisition cost â CAC, CAC by Channel
- Customer value â LTV, NRR by Channel
- Payback â Payback Period, CAC Payback by Channel
- Scalability â Magic Number
Pricing decisions:
- Monetization â ARPU, ARPA, ACV
- Impact â Churn Rate, NRR, Expansion Revenue
- Efficiency â CAC Payback (will pricing change affect it?)
Business health:
- Growth â Revenue Growth, MRR/ARR Growth
- Retention â Churn Rate, NRR, Quick Ratio
- Economics â LTV:CAC, Payback Period, Gross Margin
- Efficiency â Rule of 40, Magic Number, Operating Leverage
- Survival â Burn Rate, Runway
Board/investor reporting:
- Key metrics: ARR, Revenue Growth %, NRR, LTV:CAC, Rule of 40, Magic Number, Burn Rate, Runway
- Stage-specific: Early stage emphasize growth + unit economics; Growth stage emphasize Rule of 40 + Magic Number; Scale stage emphasize profitability + efficiency
Examples
Example 1: Feature Investment Sanity Check
You are deciding whether to build a premium export feature.
- Use Framework 1 (Should We Build This Feature?)
- Pull baseline metrics: ARPU, Gross Margin, LTV, Contribution Margin
- Model optimistic, base, and downside adoption
- Reject if contribution margin turns negative in downside case
Quick output:
- Base case ROI: 3.8x
- Contribution margin impact: +4 points
- Decision: Build now, with a 90-day post-launch check on churn and expansion
Example 2: Channel Scale Decision
Paid social is generating many signups but weak retention.
- Use Framework 2 (Should We Scale This Acquisition Channel?)
- Check CAC, LTV:CAC, Payback Period, and NRR by channel
- Compare against best-performing channel, not company average
Quick output:
- LTV:CAC: 1.6:1
- Payback: 26 months
- NRR: 88%
- Decision: Do not scale; cap spend and run targeted optimization tests
Common Pitfalls
- Using blended company averages instead of cohort or channel-level metrics
- Scaling acquisition when Quick Ratio is weak and retention is deteriorating
- Treating high LTV:CAC as sufficient without checking payback and runway impact
- Raising prices based on ARPU lift alone without modeling churn and contraction
- Comparing benchmarks across mismatched company stages or business models
- Tracking many metrics without a clear decision question
References
Related Skills (Deep Dives)
saas-revenue-growth-metricsâ Detailed guidance on revenue, retention, and growth metrics (13 metrics)saas-economics-efficiency-metricsâ Detailed guidance on unit economics and capital efficiency (17 metrics)feature-investment-advisorâ Uses these metrics to evaluate feature ROIacquisition-channel-advisorâ Uses these metrics to evaluate channel viabilityfinance-based-pricing-advisorâ Uses these metrics to evaluate pricing changesbusiness-health-diagnosticâ Uses these metrics to diagnose business health
External Resources
- Bessemer Venture Partners: “SaaS Metrics 2.0” â Comprehensive SaaS benchmarking
- David Skok (Matrix Partners): “SaaS Metrics” blog series â Deep dive on unit economics
- Tomasz Tunguz (Redpoint): SaaS benchmarking research and blog
- ChartMogul, Baremetrics, ProfitWell: SaaS analytics platforms with metric definitions
- SaaStr: Annual SaaS benchmarking surveys
Provenance
- Adapted from
research/finance/Finance_QuickRef.md - Formulas from
research/finance/Finance for Product Managers.md - Decision frameworks from
research/finance/Finance_For_PMs.Putting_It_Together_Synthesis.md