finance-metrics-quickref

📁 deanpeters/product-manager-skills 📅 1 day ago
1
总安装量
1
周安装量
#44830
全站排名
安装命令
npx skills add https://github.com/deanpeters/product-manager-skills --skill finance-metrics-quickref

Agent 安装分布

mcpjam 1
claude-code 1
replit 1
windsurf 1
zencoder 1

Skill 文档

Purpose

Quick reference for any SaaS finance metric without deep teaching. Use this when you need a fast formula lookup, benchmark check, or decision framework reminder. For detailed explanations, calculations, and examples, see the related deep-dive skills.

This is not a teaching tool—it’s a cheat sheet optimized for speed. Scan, find, apply.

Key Concepts

Metric Categories

Metrics are organized into four families:

  1. Revenue & Growth — Top-line money (revenue, ARPU, ARPA, MRR/ARR, churn, NRR, expansion)
  2. Unit Economics — Customer-level profitability (CAC, LTV, payback, margins)
  3. Capital Efficiency — Cash management (burn rate, runway, OpEx, net income)
  4. Efficiency Ratios — Growth vs. profitability balance (Rule of 40, magic number)

When to Use This Skill

Use this when:

  • You need a quick formula or benchmark
  • You’re preparing for a board meeting or investor call
  • You’re evaluating a decision and need to check which metrics matter
  • You want to identify red flags quickly

Don’t use this when:

  • You need detailed calculation guidance (use saas-revenue-growth-metrics or saas-economics-efficiency-metrics)
  • You’re learning these metrics for the first time (start with deep-dive skills)
  • You need examples and common pitfalls (covered in related skills)

Application

All Metrics Reference Table

Metric Formula What It Measures Good Benchmark Red Flag
Revenue Total sales before expenses Top-line money earned Growth rate >20% YoY (varies by stage) Revenue growing slower than costs
ARPU Total Revenue / Total Users Revenue per individual user Varies by model; track trend ARPU declining cohort-over-cohort
ARPA MRR / Active Accounts Revenue per customer account SMB: $100-$1K; Mid: $1K-$10K; Ent: $10K+ High ARPA + low ARPU (undermonetized seats)
ACV Annual Recurring Revenue per Contract Annualized contract value SMB: $5K-$25K; Mid: $25K-$100K; Ent: $100K+ ACV declining (moving downmarket unintentionally)
MRR/ARR MRR × 12 = ARR Predictable recurring revenue Growth + quality matter; track components New MRR declining while churn stable/growing
Churn Rate Customers Lost / Starting Customers % of customers who cancel Monthly <2% great, <5% ok; Annual <10% great Churn increasing cohort-over-cohort
NRR (Start ARR + Expansion – Churn – Contraction) / Start ARR × 100 Revenue retention + expansion >120% excellent; 100-120% good; 90-100% ok NRR <100% (base is contracting)
Expansion Revenue Upsells + Cross-sells + Usage Growth Additional revenue from existing customers 20-30% of total revenue Expansion <10% of MRR
Quick Ratio (New MRR + Expansion MRR) / (Churned MRR + Contraction) Revenue gains vs. losses >4 excellent; 2-4 healthy; <2 leaky bucket Quick Ratio <2 (leaky bucket)
Gross Margin (Revenue – COGS) / Revenue × 100 % of revenue after direct costs SaaS: 70-85% good; <60% concerning Gross margin <60% or declining
CAC Total S&M Spend / New Customers Cost to acquire one customer Varies: Ent $10K+ ok; SMB <$500 CAC increasing while LTV flat
LTV ARPU × Gross Margin % / Churn Rate Total revenue from one customer Must be 3x+ CAC; varies by segment LTV declining cohort-over-cohort
LTV:CAC LTV / CAC Unit economics efficiency 3:1 healthy; <1:1 unsustainable; >5:1 underinvesting LTV:CAC <1.5:1
Payback Period CAC / (Monthly ARPU × Gross Margin %) Months to recover CAC <12 months great; 12-18 ok; >24 concerning Payback >24 months (cash trap)
Contribution Margin (Revenue – All Variable Costs) / Revenue × 100 True contribution after variable costs 60-80% good for SaaS; <40% concerning Contribution margin <40%
Burn Rate Monthly Cash Spent – Revenue Cash consumed per month Net burn <$200K manageable early; <$500K growth Net burn accelerating
Runway Cash Balance / Monthly Net Burn Months until money runs out 12+ months good; 6-12 ok; <6 crisis Runway <6 months
OpEx S&M + R&D + G&A Costs to run the business Should grow slower than revenue OpEx growing faster than revenue
Net Income Revenue – All Expenses Actual profit/loss Early negative ok; mature 10-20%+ margin Losses accelerating without growth
Rule of 40 Revenue Growth % + Profit Margin % Balance of growth vs. efficiency >40 healthy; 25-40 ok; <25 concerning Rule of 40 <25
Magic Number (Q Revenue – Prev Q Revenue) × 4 / Prev Q S&M S&M efficiency >0.75 efficient; 0.5-0.75 ok; <0.5 fix GTM Magic Number <0.5
Operating Leverage Revenue Growth vs. OpEx Growth Scaling efficiency Revenue growth > OpEx growth OpEx growing faster than revenue
Gross vs. Net Revenue Net = Gross – Discounts – Refunds – Credits What you actually keep Refunds <10%; discounts <20% Refunds >10% (product problem)
Revenue Concentration Top N Customers / Total Revenue Dependency on largest customers Top customer <10%; Top 10 <40% Top customer >25% (existential risk)
Revenue Mix Product/Segment Revenue / Total Revenue Portfolio composition No single product >60% ideal Single product >80% (no diversification)
Cohort Analysis Group customers by join date; track behavior Whether business improving or degrading Recent cohorts same/better than old Newer cohorts perform worse
CAC Payback by Channel CAC / Monthly Contribution (by channel) Payback by acquisition channel Compare across channels One channel far worse than others
Gross Margin Payback CAC / (Monthly ARPU × Gross Margin %) Payback using actual profit Typically 1.5-2x simple payback Payback using margin >36 months
Unit Economics Revenue per unit – Cost per unit Profitability of each “unit” Positive contribution required Negative contribution margin
Segment Payback CAC / Monthly Contribution (by segment) Payback by customer segment Compare to allocate resources One segment unprofitable
Incrementality Revenue caused by action – Baseline True impact of marketing/promo Measure with holdout tests Celebrating revenue that would’ve happened anyway
Working Capital Cash timing between revenue and collection Cash vs. revenue timing Annual upfront > monthly billing Long payment terms killing runway

Quick Decision Frameworks

Use these frameworks to combine metrics for common PM decisions.

Framework 1: Should We Build This Feature?

Ask:

  1. Revenue impact? Direct (pricing, add-on) or indirect (retention, conversion)?
  2. Margin impact? What’s the COGS? Does it dilute margins?
  3. ROI? Revenue impact / Development cost

Build if:

  • ROI >3x in year one (direct monetization), OR
  • LTV impact >10x development cost (retention), OR
  • Strategic value overrides short-term ROI

Don’t build if:

  • Negative contribution margin even with optimistic adoption
  • Payback period exceeds average customer lifetime

Metrics to check: Revenue, Gross Margin, LTV, Contribution Margin


Framework 2: Should We Scale This Acquisition Channel?

Ask:

  1. Unit economics? CAC, LTV, LTV:CAC ratio
  2. Cash efficiency? Payback period
  3. Customer quality? Cohort retention, NRR by channel
  4. Scalability? Magic Number, addressable volume

Scale if:

  • LTV:CAC >3:1 AND
  • Payback <18 months AND
  • Customer quality meets/beats other channels AND
  • Magic Number >0.75

Don’t scale if:

  • LTV:CAC <1.5:1 AND
  • No clear path to improvement

Metrics to check: CAC, LTV, LTV:CAC, Payback Period, NRR, Magic Number


Framework 3: Should We Change Pricing?

Ask:

  1. ARPU/ARPA impact? Will revenue per customer increase?
  2. Conversion impact? Help or hurt trial-to-paid conversion?
  3. Churn impact? Create churn risk or reduce it?
  4. NRR impact? Enable expansion or create contraction?

Implement if:

  • Net revenue impact positive after churn risk
  • Can test with segment before broad rollout

Don’t change if:

  • High churn risk without offsetting expansion
  • Can’t test hypothesis before committing

Metrics to check: ARPU, ARPA, Churn Rate, NRR, CAC Payback


Framework 4: Is the Business Healthy?

Check by stage:

Early Stage (Pre-$10M ARR):

  • Growth Rate >50% YoY
  • LTV:CAC >3:1
  • Gross Margin >70%
  • Runway >12 months

Growth Stage ($10M-$50M ARR):

  • Growth Rate >40% YoY
  • NRR >100%
  • Rule of 40 >40
  • Magic Number >0.75

Scale Stage ($50M+ ARR):

  • Growth Rate >25% YoY
  • NRR >110%
  • Rule of 40 >40
  • Profit Margin >10%

Metrics to check: Revenue Growth, NRR, LTV:CAC, Rule of 40, Magic Number, Gross Margin


Red Flags by Category

Revenue & Growth Red Flags

Red Flag What It Means Action
Churn increasing cohort-over-cohort Product-market fit degrading Stop scaling acquisition; fix retention first
NRR <100% Base is contracting Fix expansion or reduce churn before scaling
Revenue churn > logo churn Losing big customers Investigate why high-value customers leave
Quick Ratio <2 Leaky bucket (barely outpacing losses) Fix retention before scaling acquisition
Expansion revenue <10% of MRR No upsell/cross-sell engine Build expansion paths
Revenue concentration >50% in top 10 customers Existential dependency risk Diversify customer base

Unit Economics Red Flags

Red Flag What It Means Action
LTV:CAC <1.5:1 Buying revenue at a loss Reduce CAC or increase LTV before scaling
Payback >24 months Cash trap (long cash recovery) Negotiate annual upfront or reduce CAC
Gross margin <60% Low profitability per dollar Increase prices or reduce COGS
CAC increasing while LTV flat Unit economics degrading Optimize conversion or reduce sales cycle
Contribution margin <40% Unprofitable after variable costs Cut variable costs or increase prices

Capital Efficiency Red Flags

Red Flag What It Means Action
Runway <6 months Survival crisis Raise capital immediately or cut burn
Net burn accelerating without revenue growth Burning faster without results Cut costs or increase revenue urgency
OpEx growing faster than revenue Negative operating leverage Freeze hiring; optimize spend
Rule of 40 <25 Burning cash without growth Improve growth or cut to profitability
Magic Number <0.5 S&M engine broken Fix GTM efficiency before scaling spend

When to Use Which Metric

Prioritizing features:

  • Revenue impact → Revenue, ARPU, Expansion Revenue
  • Margin impact → Gross Margin, Contribution Margin
  • ROI → LTV impact, Development cost

Evaluating channels:

  • Acquisition cost → CAC, CAC by Channel
  • Customer value → LTV, NRR by Channel
  • Payback → Payback Period, CAC Payback by Channel
  • Scalability → Magic Number

Pricing decisions:

  • Monetization → ARPU, ARPA, ACV
  • Impact → Churn Rate, NRR, Expansion Revenue
  • Efficiency → CAC Payback (will pricing change affect it?)

Business health:

  • Growth → Revenue Growth, MRR/ARR Growth
  • Retention → Churn Rate, NRR, Quick Ratio
  • Economics → LTV:CAC, Payback Period, Gross Margin
  • Efficiency → Rule of 40, Magic Number, Operating Leverage
  • Survival → Burn Rate, Runway

Board/investor reporting:

  • Key metrics: ARR, Revenue Growth %, NRR, LTV:CAC, Rule of 40, Magic Number, Burn Rate, Runway
  • Stage-specific: Early stage emphasize growth + unit economics; Growth stage emphasize Rule of 40 + Magic Number; Scale stage emphasize profitability + efficiency

Examples

Example 1: Feature Investment Sanity Check

You are deciding whether to build a premium export feature.

  1. Use Framework 1 (Should We Build This Feature?)
  2. Pull baseline metrics: ARPU, Gross Margin, LTV, Contribution Margin
  3. Model optimistic, base, and downside adoption
  4. Reject if contribution margin turns negative in downside case

Quick output:

  • Base case ROI: 3.8x
  • Contribution margin impact: +4 points
  • Decision: Build now, with a 90-day post-launch check on churn and expansion

Example 2: Channel Scale Decision

Paid social is generating many signups but weak retention.

  1. Use Framework 2 (Should We Scale This Acquisition Channel?)
  2. Check CAC, LTV:CAC, Payback Period, and NRR by channel
  3. Compare against best-performing channel, not company average

Quick output:

  • LTV:CAC: 1.6:1
  • Payback: 26 months
  • NRR: 88%
  • Decision: Do not scale; cap spend and run targeted optimization tests

Common Pitfalls

  • Using blended company averages instead of cohort or channel-level metrics
  • Scaling acquisition when Quick Ratio is weak and retention is deteriorating
  • Treating high LTV:CAC as sufficient without checking payback and runway impact
  • Raising prices based on ARPU lift alone without modeling churn and contraction
  • Comparing benchmarks across mismatched company stages or business models
  • Tracking many metrics without a clear decision question

References

Related Skills (Deep Dives)

  • saas-revenue-growth-metrics — Detailed guidance on revenue, retention, and growth metrics (13 metrics)
  • saas-economics-efficiency-metrics — Detailed guidance on unit economics and capital efficiency (17 metrics)
  • feature-investment-advisor — Uses these metrics to evaluate feature ROI
  • acquisition-channel-advisor — Uses these metrics to evaluate channel viability
  • finance-based-pricing-advisor — Uses these metrics to evaluate pricing changes
  • business-health-diagnostic — Uses these metrics to diagnose business health

External Resources

  • Bessemer Venture Partners: “SaaS Metrics 2.0” — Comprehensive SaaS benchmarking
  • David Skok (Matrix Partners): “SaaS Metrics” blog series — Deep dive on unit economics
  • Tomasz Tunguz (Redpoint): SaaS benchmarking research and blog
  • ChartMogul, Baremetrics, ProfitWell: SaaS analytics platforms with metric definitions
  • SaaStr: Annual SaaS benchmarking surveys

Provenance

  • Adapted from research/finance/Finance_QuickRef.md
  • Formulas from research/finance/Finance for Product Managers.md
  • Decision frameworks from research/finance/Finance_For_PMs.Putting_It_Together_Synthesis.md